This Should be good.... My Hurricane Forecast!
Posted 03-23-2010 at 07:24 PM by lokelake
Now, do not use my forecast for life or death situations and take it with a grain of salt. I was just want to compete with forecasters and with some of you folks on here. I am going to see if my forecast will be more right than others.
June through August will be dangerous. I am thinking a major threat to Cuba, Mexico, and the Gulf Coast States. This year, cyclones can't go very far up north, because the air will be so dry, and with cooler waters. The pic below shows that. In the black, that is the area that will be threaten the most.
Sept. through Nov. I think the action will be confined to the Caribbean and central and southern Mexico. And maybe a secondary threat in the Gulf of Mexico.
However, there could still be a storm or two that would sneak up toward the Eastern seaboard.
So basically, I am saying the central and north Atlantic will see next to no action this year while the southern Atlantic and south-central Atlantic will see all the action.
I am probably looking at 15 named storms. With 8 of those becoming hurricanes, and 4 of those hurricanes becoming major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 and 5).
Do I have any competitors?
June through August will be dangerous. I am thinking a major threat to Cuba, Mexico, and the Gulf Coast States. This year, cyclones can't go very far up north, because the air will be so dry, and with cooler waters. The pic below shows that. In the black, that is the area that will be threaten the most.
Sept. through Nov. I think the action will be confined to the Caribbean and central and southern Mexico. And maybe a secondary threat in the Gulf of Mexico.
However, there could still be a storm or two that would sneak up toward the Eastern seaboard.
So basically, I am saying the central and north Atlantic will see next to no action this year while the southern Atlantic and south-central Atlantic will see all the action.
I am probably looking at 15 named storms. With 8 of those becoming hurricanes, and 4 of those hurricanes becoming major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 and 5).
Do I have any competitors?
Total Comments 5
Comments
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So how is this good?Posted 03-23-2010 at 07:40 PM by Manbearpig 
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A non-expert giving out a pretty big forecast.
You know what I smell MBP? I smell victory!Posted 03-23-2010 at 07:41 PM by lokelake
Updated 03-23-2010 at 08:00 PM by lokelake -
the bottom one looks a bit like a horse peenee with a lump on top. . .
not that i normally study what they look like
Posted 03-24-2010 at 02:04 AM by muffinfairy
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I mean hurricanes are interesting, but I rather have 0 (I have family who live on the Gulf Coast in Florida)
Posted 03-24-2010 at 07:48 AM by Manbearpig
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Hurricanes are best when they are "fish" storms. Don't hit any land. It's nice to see them.
Posted 03-24-2010 at 01:19 PM by lokelake
